Liga II predictions
Romania · second tier · 22 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga II match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga II in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga II fixtures
- 26 Oct · 15:00MetaloglobusvCSM Ramnicu ValceaNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 16:00CSA Steaua BucureştivCS Dinamo BucureștiNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00Cetatea SuceavavBihor OradeaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00DumbrăviţavFC Politehnica TimisoaraNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00ASA Targu MuresvUnirea SloboziaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00Popești-LeordenivMetalul BuzăuNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00CSM Ramnicu ValceavCS AfumatiNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00ŞtefăneştivChindia TargovisteNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 9:00CSM Satu MarevViitorul ŞelimbărNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 11:30FC BacauvMetaloglobusNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 9:00SlatinavConcordiaNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 10:30CSM ReşiţavGloria BistriţaNo pick yet
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Slatina | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Popești-Leordeni | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 24 | |
| 4 |  Chindia Targoviste | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 21 | |
| 5 |  Cetatea Suceava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Metalul Buzău | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 21 | |
| 7 |  CSM Reşiţa | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Concordia | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 19 | |
| 9 |  FC Bacau | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Bihor Oradea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 18 | |
| 12 |  CS Afumati | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 | |
| 13 |  Metaloglobus | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 | |
| 14 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 | |
| 15 |  ASA Targu Mures | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 | |
| 16 |  Unirea Slobozia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 8 | |
| 17 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | |
| 18 |  CS Dinamo București | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 7 | |
| 19 |  CSM Satu Mare | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 | |
| 20 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 | |
| 21 |  Ştefăneşti | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 6 | |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 3 |
- Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
- Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
Official Liga II table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga II record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 1 | 58.3% | 100.0% | +41.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 4 | 60.4% | 100.0% | +39.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga II matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga II results
- 25 Oct · 9:00Chindia Targoviste3-2CSM Satu MareNo pick
- 25 Oct · 9:00Viitorul Şelimbăr1-0ASA Targu MuresNo pick
- 25 Oct · 9:00CS Afumati1-3CSA Steaua BucureştiNo pick
- 24 Oct · 11:00FC Politehnica Timisoara1-0FC BacauDraw✗
- 24 Oct · 9:00Unirea Slobozia2-2ConcordiaNo pick
- 24 Oct · 9:00Metalul Buzău3-0ŞtefăneştiOver 2.5✓
- 24 Oct · 9:00Gloria Bistriţa2-1DumbrăviţaNo pick
- 24 Oct · 9:00CS Dinamo București1-2Popești-LeordeniNo pick
- 24 Oct · 9:00Cetatea Suceava2-0SlatinaNo pick
- 22 Oct · 14:00Bihor Oradea2-0CSM ReşiţaNo pick
About Liga II
Liga II is the second tier of Romania football with 22 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.91 goals per game over 120 matches: both teams scored in 53%, 56% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 48% with 20% drawn. FC Politehnica Timisoara lead the table on 27 points from 11 games.
How the model handles Liga II
Every Liga II fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 5 Liga II tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 60.0% on average and landing 100.0%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga II predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga II table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga II market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Liga II tips since 27 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Liga II fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga II by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.