Liga I predictions
Romania · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga I match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga I in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga I fixtures
- 25 Oct · 14:00Farul ConstantavOţelulNo pick yet
- 25 Oct · 17:00CFR 1907 ClujvDinamo BucurestiNo pick yet
- 26 Oct · 18:00Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorghevUniversitatea CraiovaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00Corvinul HunedoaravArges PitestiNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00Dinamo BucurestivUta AradNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00RapidvCsikszeredaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00FC VoluntarivFarul ConstantaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00OţelulvSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00Petrolul PloiestivCFR 1907 ClujNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00Universitatea ClujvFCSBNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 18:00Universitatea CraiovavFC BotosaniNo pick yet
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 29 | |
| 2 |  Rapid | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 27 | |
| 3 |  Universitatea Craiova | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | +18 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Petrolul Ploiesti | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 23 | |
| 5 |  Universitatea Cluj | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 22 | |
| 6 |  FCSB | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Uta Arad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 | |
| 8 |  Farul Constanta | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 | |
| 9 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 | |
| 10 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 | |
| 11 |  FC Botosani | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 | |
| 12 |  Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 |  Arges Pitesti | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Oţelul | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | |
| 15 |  FC Voluntari | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Csikszereda | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 5 |
- Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
- Superliga (Relegation Group)
Official Liga I table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga I record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 12 | 61.9% | 50.0% | -11.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 20 | 82.6% | 90.0% | +7.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 57.7% | 100.0% | +42.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga I matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga I results
- 24 Oct · 19:00FCSB4-1RapidNo pick
- 24 Oct · 16:00Arges Pitesti0-1Uta AradDraw✗
- 24 Oct · 13:30Csikszereda2-1FC VoluntariNo pick
- 23 Oct · 19:00Corvinul Hunedoara0-3Universitatea ClujNo pick
- 23 Oct · 16:00FC Botosani1-3Petrolul PloiestiNo pick
- 19 Oct · 19:00FC Voluntari1-2FCSBNo pick
- 19 Oct · 16:00Universitatea Cluj2-2Arges PitestiNo pick
- 18 Oct · 19:00Universitatea Craiova2-0Farul ConstantaHome or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 16:15Uta Arad1-0CFR 1907 ClujNo pick
- 17 Oct · 19:30Rapid2-0Corvinul HunedoaraHome or Draw✓
About Liga I
Liga I is the top flight of Romania football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.66 goals per game over 101 matches: both teams scored in 48%, 49% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 54% with 24% drawn. Dinamo Bucuresti lead the table on 29 points from 12 games.
How the model handles Liga I
Every Liga I fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 33 Liga I tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 74.3% on average and landing 75.8%. Its best-calibrated Liga I market so far is home or draw (82.6% claimed against 90.0% hit over 20 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga I predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga I table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga I market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga I tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.6% claimed against 90.0% hit over 20 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga I fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga I by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.