1. Division predictions
Norway · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. Division match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. Division in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. Division fixtures
- 12 Sept · 19:00BrynevStabaekNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00EgersundvKongsvingerNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00hoddvLynNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00MossvHaugesundNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00RanheimvAsaneNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00RaufossvODD BallklubbNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00SogndalvStrommenNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 16:00StromsgodsetvSandnes ULFNo pick yet
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kongsvinger | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 33 | +29 | 46 | |
| 2 |  Haugesund | 21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 64 | 36 | +28 | 46 | |
| 3 |  Stabaek | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 55 | 26 | +29 | 42 | |
| 4 |  Stromsgodset | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 30 | +24 | 42 | |
| 5 |  hodd | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 | |
| 6 |  ODD Ballklubb | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | +8 | 33 | |
| 7 |  Bryne | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 | |
| 8 |  Egersund | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 28 | |
| 9 |  Lyn | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 25 | |
| 10 |  Ranheim | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 24 | |
| 11 |  Sandnes ULF | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 24 | |
| 12 |  Strommen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 24 | |
| 13 |  Moss | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 22 | |
| 14 |  Sogndal | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 22 | |
| 15 |  Asane | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 19 | |
| 16 |  Raufoss | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 16 |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official 1. Division table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. Division record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 4 | 64.2% | 50.0% | -14.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 3 | 82.9% | 66.7% | -16.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 26 | 61.3% | 69.2% | +7.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 2 | 64.6% | 100.0% | +35.4 |
Settled 1. Division matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. Division results
- 6 Sept · 16:00Lyn1-1EgersundOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 19:00Stabaek2-3MossOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 15:00Strommen2-0BryneOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 15:00Sandnes ULF1-1RanheimOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 15:00ODD Ballklubb1-1StromsgodsetNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Kongsvinger9-1RaufossOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 15:00Haugesund2-0SogndalNo pick
- 5 Sept · 15:00Asane2-2hoddNo pick
- 30 Aug · 16:00Sogndal2-3StromsgodsetNo pick
- 30 Aug · 16:00Raufoss0-3Sandnes ULFNo pick
About 1. Division
1. Division is the second tier of Norway football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 3.86 goals per game over 168 matches: both teams scored in 64%, 73% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 17% drawn. Kongsvinger lead the table on 46 points from 21 games.
How the model handles 1. Division
Every 1. Division fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 35 1. Division tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 63.7% on average and landing 68.6%. Its best-calibrated 1. Division market so far is over 2.5 (61.3% claimed against 69.2% hit over 26 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. Division predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. Division table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. Division market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 1. Division tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 61.3% claimed against 69.2% hit over 26 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 1. Division fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. Division by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.