Liga MX Femenil predictions
Mexico · third tier · 18 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Liga MX Femenil match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Liga MX Femenil in the Bet Finder.
This week's Liga MX Femenil fixtures
- 12 Sept · 2:00Cruz Azul WvPumas UNAM WNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 4:06Atlas WvAtlante WNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 0:07Guadalajara WvMonterrey WOver 2.5Moderate
- 13 Sept · 2:10Juárez WvNecaxa WHome or DrawStrong
- 13 Sept · 19:00Puebla WvQuerétaro WNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 0:00Atlético San Luis WvSantos Laguna WNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 0:00América WvTigres UANL WNo pick yet
- 15 Sept · 1:00Toluca WvTijuana WNo pick yet
- 15 Sept · 2:00Pachuca WvLeón WNo pick yet
Liga MX Femenil table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  América W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | +27 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Tigres UANL W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | +18 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Monterrey W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Toluca W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Guadalajara W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Atlético San Luis W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Juárez W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 |  León W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | |
| 9 |  Pumas UNAM W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Cruz Azul W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Pachuca W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 |  Tijuana W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Santos Laguna W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 | |
| 14 |  Atlas W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | |
| 15 |  Atlante W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Querétaro W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 | |
| 17 |  Puebla W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 3 | |
| 18 |  Necaxa W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 21 | -18 | 0 |
Official Liga MX Femenil table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Liga MX Femenil record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 21 | 71.1% | 76.2% | +5.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 19 | 86.4% | 78.9% | -7.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 14 | 62.8% | 85.7% | +22.9 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 12 | 81.1% | 100.0% | +18.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 33 | 66.4% | 78.8% | +12.4 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Liga MX Femenil matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Liga MX Femenil results
- 8 Sept · 19:00Atlante W0-1Juárez WNo pick
- 8 Sept · 2:06León W5-2Puebla WHome or Draw✓
- 7 Sept · 1:06Tigres UANL W3-0Santos Laguna WHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 23:00Querétaro W0-2Cruz Azul WNo pick
- 6 Sept · 2:06Tijuana W3-1Pachuca WOver 2.5✓
- 6 Sept · 2:00Monterrey W5-1Toluca WHome Win✓
- 6 Sept · 0:00Necaxa W0-2Atlético San Luis WAway or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 4:00Pumas UNAM W1-2América WAway or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 3:06Atlas W0-4Guadalajara WOver 2.5✓
- 1 Sept · 2:06Santos Laguna W1-0Atlante WNo pick
About Liga MX Femenil
Liga MX Femenil is the third tier of Mexico football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.78 goals per game over 54 matches: both teams scored in 57%, 70% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 56% with 4% drawn. América W lead the table on 18 points from 6 games.
How the model handles Liga MX Femenil
Every Liga MX Femenil fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 99 Liga MX Femenil tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 72.5% on average and landing 81.8%. Its best-calibrated Liga MX Femenil market so far is home win (71.1% claimed against 76.2% hit over 21 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Liga MX Femenil predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Liga MX Femenil table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Liga MX Femenil market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Liga MX Femenil tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 71.1% claimed against 76.2% hit over 21 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Liga MX Femenil fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Liga MX Femenil by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.