Super League 1 predictions
Greece · top flight · 14 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Super League 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super League 1 fixtures
- 25 Oct · 17:30Aris ThessalonikisvAtromitosHome or DrawModerate
- 25 Oct · 18:00OFIvPAOKAway or DrawModerate
- 31 Oct · 17:00KifisiavOlympiakos PiraeusNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:00LevadiakosvAris ThessalonikisNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 16:00PanetolikosvOFINo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:00PanathinaikosvAEK Athens FCNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:00PAOKvAsteras TripolisNo pick yet
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | +18 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 |  PAOK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Kifisia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Kalamata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 10 | |
| 8 |  OFI | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Iraklis 1908 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 3 | |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 0(-3) |
- Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
- Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
- Super League (Relegation Group)
Official Super League 1 table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Volos NFC · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Super League 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 13 | 64.7% | 84.6% | +19.9 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 14 | 84.1% | 85.7% | +1.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 9 | 58.8% | 66.7% | +7.9 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 9 | 81.3% | 100.0% | +18.7 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 4 | 58.2% | 100.0% | +41.8 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Super League 1 matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super League 1 results
- 25 Oct · 16:00Volos NFC0-1PanathinaikosAway or Draw✓
- 25 Oct · 14:00Olympiakos Piraeus5-0KalamataHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 18:00AEK Athens FC5-0PanetolikosHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 17:30Asteras Tripolis0-0LevadiakosNo pick
- 24 Oct · 17:00Iraklis 19082-3KifisiaNo pick
- 18 Oct · 19:00PAOK2-1Iraklis 1908Home or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 18:00Kifisia1-2Aris ThessalonikisNo pick
- 18 Oct · 15:30Panathinaikos5-1Asteras TripolisHome or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 15:00Panetolikos0-2Olympiakos PiraeusAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 14:00Kalamata4-3OFINo pick
About Super League 1
Super League 1 is the top flight of Greece football with 14 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.74 goals per game over 53 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 49% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 21% drawn. Panathinaikos lead the table on 18 points from 7 games. Volos NFC (-3) has had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles Super League 1
Every Super League 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 49 Super League 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 71.7% on average and landing 85.7%. Its best-calibrated Super League 1 market so far is home or draw (84.1% claimed against 85.7% hit over 14 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super League 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super League 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super League 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super League 1 tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 84.1% claimed against 85.7% hit over 14 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super League 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.