Football League predictions
Greece · second tier · 14 teams · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Football League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Football League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Football League fixtures
No Football League fixtures in the next 7 days.
Football League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trikala | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 46 | |
| 2 |  Ionikos | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 40 | |
| 3 |  Diagoras | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 38 | |
| 4 |  Niki Volos | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 37 | |
| 5 |  OF Ierapetra | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 37 | |
| 6 |  Kavala | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 36 | |
| 7 |  Veria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 19 | +8 | 35 | |
| 8 |  Olympiakos Volos | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 | |
| 9 |  Egaleo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 27 | |
| 10 |  Thesprotos | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 24 | |
| 11 |  Ialysos | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 24 | |
| 12 |  Aspropyrgos Enosis | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 20(-3) | |
| 13 |  Triglia | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 20 | |
| 14 |  Kalamata | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
- Promotion
- Promotion - Football League (Relegation)
- Relegation
Official Football League table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Aspropyrgos Enosis · updated 2020-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's Football League record
Not enough settled Football League tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent Football League results
- 27 Jun · 15:00Pontion Karagiannion1-1Apollon PontouNo pick
- 27 Jun · 15:00Olympiakos Volos3-3PierikosNo pick
- 27 Jun · 15:00Almopos3-1KavalaNo pick
- 27 Jun · 15:00Triglia0-0VeriaNo pick
- 27 Jun · 15:00Thesprotos3-2PanserraikosNo pick
- 26 Jun · 15:00Egaleo0-0KallitheaNo pick
- 26 Jun · 15:00Asteras Vlachioti2-1Santorini 2020No pick
- 26 Jun · 15:00Kalamata4-0IalysosNo pick
- 26 Jun · 15:00Aspropyrgos Enosis0-2RodosNo pick
- 26 Jun · 15:00Episkopi0-0Niki VolosNo pick
About Football League
Football League is the second tier of Greece football with 14 teams. The 2020 season has produced 1.99 goals per game over 180 matches: both teams scored in 34%, 33% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 49% with 28% drawn. Trikala lead the table on 46 points from 23 games. Aspropyrgos Enosis (-3) has had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles Football League
Every Football League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Football League tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Football League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Football League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Football League market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Football League tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Football League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Football League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.