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Meistaradeildin predictions

Faroe Islands · top flight · 10 teams · table updated 30 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Meistaradeildin match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Meistaradeildin in the Bet Finder.

This week's Meistaradeildin fixtures

No Meistaradeildin fixtures in the next 7 days.

Meistaradeildin table

#TeamPGDPts
1NSI Runavik26+2355
2KI Klaksvik26+2951
3HB Torshavn26+1445
4Vikingur Gota26+1042
5B36 Torshavn26+339
6EB / Streymur26-1227
7Skála26-1325
8AB26-1425
907 Vestur26-1725
10B6826-2320
  • Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
  • Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
  • Relegation - 1. Deild

Official Meistaradeildin table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-30.

This season in numbers

2.81
goals per game (135 matches)
56%
both teams scored
54%
over 2.5 goals
76%
over 1.5 goals
29%
over 3.5 goals
39%
home wins
27%
draws
33%
away wins

The model's Meistaradeildin record

MarketTipsClaimedHitGap
Home win≥ 57%1971.7%47.4%-24.3
Home or draw≥ 80%1787.0%88.2%+1.2
Away win≥ 50%1262.3%75.0%+12.7
Away or draw≥ 73%1081.4%90.0%+8.6
Over 2.5≥ 57%3664.3%63.9%-0.4
BTTS≥ 63%763.6%28.6%-35.0

Settled Meistaradeildin matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Meistaradeildin results

About Meistaradeildin

Meistaradeildin is the top flight of Faroe Islands football with 10 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.81 goals per game over 135 matches: both teams scored in 56%, 54% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 39% with 27% drawn. NSI Runavik lead the table on 55 points from 26 games.

How the model handles Meistaradeildin

Every Meistaradeildin fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 101 Meistaradeildin tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.9% on average and landing 66.3%. Its best-calibrated Meistaradeildin market so far is over 2.5 (64.3% claimed against 63.9% hit over 36 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Meistaradeildin predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Meistaradeildin table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Meistaradeildin market is the model most reliable in?
On settled Meistaradeildin tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 64.3% claimed against 63.9% hit over 36 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Meistaradeildin fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter Meistaradeildin by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.