Superliga predictions
Denmark · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Superliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Superliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Superliga fixtures
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 18 | |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 15 | |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 13 | |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 10 | |
| 7 |  Randers FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Lyngby | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 |
- Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
Official Superliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Superliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 5 | 60.5% | 100.0% | +39.5 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 81.7% | 100.0% | +18.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 8 | 54.4% | 62.5% | +8.1 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 8 | 77.9% | 87.5% | +9.6 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 9 | 59.7% | 44.4% | -15.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Superliga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Superliga results
- 7 Sept · 18:00FC Midtjylland2-2FC NordsjaellandNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Brondby0-3Randers FCNo pick
- 6 Sept · 15:00Odense0-5FC CopenhagenAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 13:00Sonderjyske2-5AC HorsensNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:00Aarhus2-2SilkeborgNo pick
- 4 Sept · 18:00Viborg0-2LyngbyNo pick
- 3 Sept · 19:00FC Copenhagen2-0FC NordsjaellandNo pick
- 2 Sept · 19:00Aarhus0-2FC MidtjyllandAway or Draw✓
- 31 Aug · 18:00FC Copenhagen3-1SonderjyskeOver 2.5✓
- 30 Aug · 17:00FC Nordsjaelland3-1BrondbyNo pick
About Superliga
Superliga is the top flight of Denmark football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.90 goals per game over 42 matches: both teams scored in 57%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 45% with 26% drawn. FC Copenhagen lead the table on 18 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Superliga
Every Superliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 34 Superliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.4% on average and landing 73.5%. Its best-calibrated Superliga market so far is away win (54.4% claimed against 62.5% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Superliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Superliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Superliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Superliga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away win: 54.4% claimed against 62.5% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Superliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Superliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.