Superliga predictions
Denmark · top flight · 12 teams · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Superliga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Superliga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Superliga fixtures
- 25 Oct · 17:00AarhusvViborgNo pick yet
- 26 Oct · 18:00FC CopenhagenvOdenseHome WinModerate
- 30 Oct · 18:00LyngbyvRanders FCNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:00OdensevSilkeborgNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 13:00ViborgvAC HorsensNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 15:00FC NordsjaellandvFC MidtjyllandNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:00BrondbyvAarhusNo pick yet
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 25 | |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Viborg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 20 | |
| 4 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Brondby | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 19 | |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Odense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Silkeborg | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Randers FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Aarhus | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Sonderjyske | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Lyngby | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 8 |
- Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
Official Superliga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's Superliga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 6 | 60.7% | 83.3% | +22.6 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 81.7% | 100.0% | +18.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 9 | 55.2% | 55.6% | +0.4 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 9 | 78.5% | 88.9% | +10.4 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 13 | 59.5% | 38.5% | -21.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Superliga matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Superliga results
- 25 Oct · 15:00AC Horsens5-1SonderjyskeNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:00Silkeborg1-1FC NordsjaellandNo pick
- 25 Oct · 13:00FC Midtjylland3-2LyngbyHome or Draw✓
- 23 Oct · 18:00Randers FC1-3BrondbyNo pick
- 19 Oct · 18:00Viborg1-2FC MidtjyllandAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 17:00FC Copenhagen1-1AarhusHome or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 15:00Odense2-1BrondbyNo pick
- 18 Oct · 13:00Sonderjyske4-0SilkeborgOver 2.5✓
- 18 Oct · 13:00Lyngby3-3FC NordsjaellandNo pick
- 16 Oct · 18:00AC Horsens0-0Randers FCNo pick
About Superliga
Superliga is the top flight of Denmark football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.09 goals per game over 70 matches: both teams scored in 61%, 57% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 30% drawn. FC Copenhagen lead the table on 25 points from 11 games.
How the model handles Superliga
Every Superliga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 41 Superliga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.1% on average and landing 65.9%. Its best-calibrated Superliga market so far is away win (55.2% claimed against 55.6% hit over 9 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Superliga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Superliga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Superliga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Superliga tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away win: 55.2% claimed against 55.6% hit over 9 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Superliga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Superliga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.