1. Division predictions
Denmark · second tier · 12 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every 1. Division match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 1. Division in the Bet Finder.
This week's 1. Division fixtures
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vejle | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 17 | |
| 2 |  Hvidovre | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3 |  FC Fredericia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Aarhus Fremad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Hobro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Aalborg | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Vendsyssel FF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | |
| 8 |  AB Copenhagen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Kolding IF | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Hillerød | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 5 | |
| 11 |  Esbjerg | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | |
| 12 |  HB Koge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
- Promotion Play-offs
- Relegation Playoffs
Official 1. Division table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's 1. Division record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 2 | 59.2% | 50.0% | -9.2 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 2 | 81.4% | 100.0% | +18.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 17 | 59.8% | 58.8% | -1.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled 1. Division matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent 1. Division results
- 6 Sept · 12:00Aarhus Fremad2-1Kolding IFOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 13:00FC Fredericia1-0EsbjergOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 13:00AB Copenhagen0-2AalborgOver 2.5✗
- 4 Sept · 18:00HB Koge1-1HillerødOver 2.5✗
- 4 Sept · 17:00Vejle4-1Vendsyssel FFNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:00Hobro1-3HvidovreNo pick
- 30 Aug · 14:00Esbjerg0-2Vendsyssel FFNo pick
- 30 Aug · 13:00Aarhus Fremad0-0VejleHome or Draw✓
- 30 Aug · 12:00Hvidovre2-1FC FredericiaOver 2.5✓
- 30 Aug · 12:00Hillerød3-1HobroNo pick
About 1. Division
1. Division is the second tier of Denmark football with 12 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.79 goals per game over 42 matches: both teams scored in 64%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 36% with 31% drawn. Vejle lead the table on 17 points from 7 games.
How the model handles 1. Division
Every 1. Division fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 21 1. Division tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 61.8% on average and landing 61.9%. Its best-calibrated 1. Division market so far is over 2.5 (59.8% claimed against 58.8% hit over 17 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these 1. Division predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the 1. Division table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which 1. Division market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled 1. Division tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.8% claimed against 58.8% hit over 17 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are 1. Division fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 1. Division by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.