FNL predictions
Czech Republic · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 26 May
Calibrated probabilities for every FNL match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter FNL in the Bet Finder.
This week's FNL fixtures
- 11 Sept · 16:00TřinecvKarvináNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 17:00Dukla PrahavVlašimNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 17:00PříbramvBaník Ostrava IINo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 17:00TáborskovKladnoNo pick yet
- 11 Sept · 17:00Ústí nad LabemvVysočina JihlavaHome or DrawModerate
- 12 Sept · 13:00Arsenal Česká LípavProstějovNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 16:30HanáckávOpavaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 9:15Slavia Praha IIvViktoria ŽižkovHome or DrawSolid
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 62 | 22 | +40 | 76 | |
| 2 |  Táborsko | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 53 | |
| 3 |  Artis | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 37 | +13 | 52 | |
| 4 |  Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | +7 | 48 | |
| 5 |  Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 47 | |
| 6 |  Příbram | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 46 | |
| 7 |  Opava | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 44 | |
| 8 |  Viktoria Žižkov | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 41 | |
| 9 |  Slavia Praha II | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 38 | |
| 10 |  Vlašim | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 38 | |
| 11 |  Chrudim | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 | |
| 12 |  Hanácká | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 34 | |
| 13 |  České Budějovice | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 | |
| 14 |  Prostějov | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 | |
| 15 |  Vysočina Jihlava | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 29 | |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha II | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 25 |
- Promotion - Chance Liga
- Promotion - Chance Liga (Promotion)
- Relegation
Official FNL table via API-Sports · updated 2026-05-26.
This season in numbers
The model's FNL record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 59.6% | 66.7% | +7.1 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 8 | 82.9% | 87.5% | +4.6 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 2 | 58.7% | 100.0% | +41.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled FNL matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent FNL results
- 6 Sept · 13:30Baník Ostrava II1-1HanáckáDraw✓
- 6 Sept · 9:15Viktoria Žižkov1-1PříbramNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:00Opava1-2Dukla PrahaNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:00Vlašim2-1TřinecHome or Draw✓
- 4 Sept · 17:00Ústí nad Labem1-1Slavia Praha IIHome or Draw✓
- 4 Sept · 17:00Prostějov1-1TáborskoNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:00Vysočina Jihlava2-0Arsenal Česká LípaNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:00Karviná2-0KladnoNo pick
- 30 Aug · 16:00Kladno3-0Viktoria ŽižkovNo pick
- 30 Aug · 9:15Slavia Praha II3-3OpavaHome or Draw✓
About FNL
FNL is the second tier of Czech Republic football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.86 goals per game over 56 matches: both teams scored in 63%, 55% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 34% drawn. Zbrojovka Brno lead the table on 76 points from 30 games.
How the model handles FNL
Every FNL fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 13 FNL tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.8% on average and landing 84.6%. Its best-calibrated FNL market so far is home or draw (82.9% claimed against 87.5% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these FNL predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the FNL table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which FNL market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled FNL tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.9% claimed against 87.5% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are FNL fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter FNL by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.