Czech Liga predictions
Czech Republic · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Czech Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Czech Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Czech Liga fixtures
- 12 Sept · 14:00Bohemians 1905vSlováckoNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 14:00Zbrojovka BrnovArtisNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 14:00Slovan LiberecvMlada BoleslavNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:00Sparta PrahavFK JablonecHome or DrawSolid
- 13 Sept · 12:00Baník OstravavPardubiceNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00PlzenvSigma OlomoucNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 14:00ZlinvHradec KrálovéNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 17:00TeplicevSlavia PrahaNo pick yet
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 5 | +16 | 17 | |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 14 | |
| 4 |  Sigma Olomouc | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Teplice | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Hradec Králové | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Plzen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Sparta Praha | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Baník Ostrava | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 9 | |
| 12 |  Bohemians 1905 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Artis | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 | |
| 14 |  Slovácko | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | |
| 15 |  Pardubice | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 | |
| 16 |  Zlin | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
- Play-offs
- Play Offs
- Relegation Play-offs
Official Czech Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Czech Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 10 | 70.7% | 70.0% | -0.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 10 | 86.8% | 90.0% | +3.2 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 5 | 55.9% | 60.0% | +4.1 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 5 | 77.5% | 80.0% | +2.5 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 14 | 62.3% | 71.4% | +9.1 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Czech Liga matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Czech Liga results
- 9 Sept · 18:00Hradec Králové0-0PlzenNo pick
- 9 Sept · 16:00FK Jablonec3-0Baník OstravaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Hradec Králové2-1Sparta PrahaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00Zlin1-3TepliceNo pick
- 6 Sept · 14:00FK Jablonec1-2Slovan LiberecNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:00Mlada Boleslav4-0Baník OstravaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:00Artis0-3PlzenAway or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 14:00Slovácko0-0PardubiceNo pick
- 5 Sept · 14:00Slavia Praha4-0Zbrojovka BrnoHome Win✓
- 5 Sept · 14:00Sigma Olomouc3-0Bohemians 1905No pick
About Czech Liga
Czech Liga is the top flight of Czech Republic football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.89 goals per game over 55 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 22% drawn. Slavia Praha lead the table on 17 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Czech Liga
Every Czech Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 44 Czech Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.8% on average and landing 75.0%. Its best-calibrated Czech Liga market so far is home win (70.7% claimed against 70.0% hit over 10 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Czech Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Czech Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Czech Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Czech Liga tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 70.7% claimed against 70.0% hit over 10 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Czech Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Czech Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.