Czech Liga predictions
Czech Republic · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Czech Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Czech Liga in the Bet Finder.
This week's Czech Liga fixtures
- 25 Oct · 17:00PlzenvPardubiceHome or DrawSolid
- 31 Oct · 14:00PardubicevSlovan LiberecNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 14:00FK JablonecvSlavia PrahaNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 14:00ArtisvZlinNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 14:00SlováckovTepliceNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 17:00Sigma OlomoucvZbrojovka BrnoNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 12:00Mlada BoleslavvHradec KrálovéNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 14:00Baník OstravavPlzenNo pick yet
- 1 Nov · 17:00Bohemians 1905vSparta PrahaNo pick yet
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 28 | |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 21 | |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 21 | |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 | |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 | |
| 6 |  Sparta Praha | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 19 | |
| 7 |  Teplice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 18 | |
| 8 |  FK Jablonec | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 17 | |
| 9 |  Plzen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 16 | |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 | |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 | |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Artis | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | |
| 16 |  Zlin | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 2 |
- Play-offs
- Play Offs
- Relegation Play-offs
Official Czech Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's Czech Liga record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 15 | 69.0% | 60.0% | -9.0 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 15 | 86.0% | 93.3% | +7.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 8 | 57.5% | 62.5% | +5.0 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 8 | 78.5% | 87.5% | +9.0 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 20 | 61.9% | 55.0% | -6.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Czech Liga matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Czech Liga results
- 25 Oct · 14:00Sparta Praha5-1SlováckoHome or Draw✓
- 25 Oct · 12:00Hradec Králové1-2FK JablonecNo pick
- 24 Oct · 17:00Slavia Praha1-1Mlada BoleslavHome or Draw✓
- 24 Oct · 14:00Zlin1-1Sigma OlomoucNo pick
- 24 Oct · 14:00Teplice0-0ArtisNo pick
- 24 Oct · 14:00Zbrojovka Brno2-2Bohemians 1905No pick
- 18 Oct · 17:00FK Jablonec2-3PlzenNo pick
- 18 Oct · 14:00Baník Ostrava0-0Sparta PrahaAway or Draw✓
- 18 Oct · 12:00Slovácko1-2Zbrojovka BrnoNo pick
- 17 Oct · 17:00Sigma Olomouc1-0Slovan LiberecNo pick
About Czech Liga
Czech Liga is the top flight of Czech Republic football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.69 goals per game over 93 matches: both teams scored in 51%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 24% drawn. Slavia Praha lead the table on 28 points from 12 games.
How the model handles Czech Liga
Every Czech Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 66 Czech Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 70.5% on average and landing 69.7%. Its best-calibrated Czech Liga market so far is away win (57.5% claimed against 62.5% hit over 8 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Czech Liga predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Czech Liga table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Czech Liga market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Czech Liga tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is away win: 57.5% claimed against 62.5% hit over 8 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Czech Liga fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Czech Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.