How are these Primera B predictions made?

Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.

Where does the Primera B table come from?

It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.

Which Primera B market is the model most reliable in?

On settled Primera B tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.2% claimed against 70.0% hit over 20 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.

How far ahead are Primera B fixtures predicted?

Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public.

Primera B predictions

Colombia · second tier · table updated 24 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every Primera B match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Primera B in the Bet Finder.

This week's Primera B fixtures

No Primera B fixtures in the next 7 days.

Primera B table

Primera B: Tabla Anual

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Envigado	38	17	13	8	51	33	+18	64
2	Quindio	36	18	10	8	38	26	+12	64
3	Real Cartagena	38	16	13	9	60	43	+17	61
4	Union Magdalena	36	17	10	9	50	34	+16	61
5	Internacional Palmira	36	17	10	9	43	33	+10	61
6	Tigres FC	36	12	12	12	35	31	+4	48
7	Ind. Yumbo	30	12	11	7	33	23	+10	47
8	Bogota FC	36	10	14	12	30	36	-6	44
9	Real Cundinamarca	30	10	11	9	34	30	+4	41
10	Barranquilla	36	10	10	16	44	48	-4	40
11	Patriotas	30	9	8	13	30	40	-10	35
12	Popayan	30	8	10	12	35	40	-5	34
13	Orsomarso	30	8	10	12	24	31	-7	34
14	Depor FC	30	6	9	15	28	44	-16	27
15	Real Santander	30	5	12	13	26	43	-17	27
16	Leones FC	30	5	9	16	20	46	-26	24

Primera B: Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	15	12	2	1	29	13	+16	38
2	Union Magdalena	15	10	2	3	27	15	+12	32
3	Quindio	15	9	4	2	20	10	+10	31
4	Envigado	15	9	2	4	24	14	+10	29
5	Real Cartagena	15	7	5	3	23	15	+8	26
6	Bogota FC	15	6	5	4	16	14	+2	23
7	Barranquilla	15	6	2	7	21	20	+1	20
8	Tigres FC	15	5	5	5	15	14	+1	20
9	Ind. Yumbo	15	4	7	4	13	14	-1	19
10	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	13	17	-4	17
11	Patriotas	15	4	5	6	13	17	-4	17
12	Popayan	15	2	7	6	15	20	-5	13
13	Real Cundinamarca	15	2	7	6	14	19	-5	13
14	Leones FC	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16	10
15	Depor FC	15	1	6	8	12	23	-11	9
16	Real Santander	15	1	4	10	9	23	-14	7

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Envigado	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
1	Real Cartagena	6	4	1	1	8	6	+2	13
2	Quindio	6	3	1	2	4	3	+1	10
2	Union Magdalena	6	2	3	1	8	4	+4	9
3	Barranquilla	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
3	Internacional Palmira	6	1	4	1	3	3	0	7
4	Bogota FC	6	0	3	3	3	8	-5	3
4	Tigres FC	6	1	1	4	4	8	-4	4

Primera B: Clausura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Yumbo	15	8	4	3	20	9	+11	28
2	Real Cundinamarca	15	8	4	3	20	11	+9	28
3	Tigres FC	15	6	6	3	16	9	+7	24
4	Quindio	15	6	5	4	14	13	+1	23
5	Real Cartagena	15	5	6	4	26	18	+8	21
6	Popayan	15	6	3	6	20	20	0	21
7	Envigado	15	4	8	3	17	13	+4	20
8	Union Magdalena	15	5	5	5	15	15	0	20
9	Real Santander	15	4	8	3	17	20	-3	20
10	Bogota FC	15	4	6	5	11	14	-3	18
11	Depor FC	15	5	3	7	16	21	-5	18
12	Patriotas	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6	18
13	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	11	14	-3	17
14	Internacional Palmira	15	4	4	7	11	17	-6	16
15	Barranquilla	15	3	5	7	18	22	-4	14
16	Leones FC	15	3	5	7	12	22	-10	14

Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)

Official Primera B table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.

This season in numbers

2.18

goals per game (266 matches)

48%

both teams scored

37%

over 2.5 goals

67%

over 1.5 goals

17%

over 3.5 goals

37%

home wins

32%

draws

31%

away wins

The model's Primera B record

Market	Tips	Claimed	Hit	Gap
Home win≥ 57%	5	60.0%	20.0%	-40.0
Home or draw≥ 80%	20	82.2%	70.0%	-12.2
Away win≥ 50%	0	—	—	—
Away or draw≥ 73%	0	—	—	—
Over 2.5≥ 57%	0	—	—	—
BTTS≥ 63%	0	—	—	—

Settled Primera B matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent Primera B results

About Primera B

Primera B is the second tier of Colombia football played across 4 groups. The 2026 season has produced 2.18 goals per game over 266 matches: both teams scored in 48%, 37% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 37% with 32% drawn. The table is published as Primera B: Tabla Anual, Primera B: Apertura, Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, Primera B: Clausura.

How the model handles Primera B

Every Primera B fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 25 Primera B tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 77.8% on average and landing 60.0%. Its best-calibrated Primera B market so far is home or draw (82.2% claimed against 70.0% hit over 20 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Primera B predictions made?: Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Primera B table come from?: It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Primera B market is the model most reliable in?: On settled Primera B tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.2% claimed against 70.0% hit over 20 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are Primera B fixtures predicted?: Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Primera B by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

Other Colombia competitions

Primera A