Super League predictions
China · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 25 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Super League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super League fixtures
No Super League fixtures in the next 7 days.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 35 | +16 | 52 | |
| 2 |  Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 49 | |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 47(-5) | |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 47 | +10 | 44(-6) | |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 36 | +14 | 42(-5) | |
| 6 |  Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 40 | |
| 7 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 39 | |
| 8 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 50 | +13 | 37(-10) | |
| 9 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 36 | |
| 10 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 34(-5) | |
| 11 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 32 | |
| 12 |  Tianjin Teda | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | +4 | 31(-10) | |
| 13 |  Shenyang Urban | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 29 | |
| 14 |  Henan Jianye | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 28(-6) | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 22(-5) | |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 14(-7) |
- AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
- AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
- Relegation
Official Super League table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Beijing Guoan, Shandong Luneng, SHANGHAI SIPG, Shanghai Shenhua, Hangzhou Greentown, Tianjin Teda, Henan Jianye, Wuhan Three Towns, Qingdao Jonoon · updated 2026-10-25.
This season in numbers
The model's Super League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 14 | 63.6% | 71.4% | +7.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 10 | 83.7% | 100.0% | +16.3 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 55.5% | 100.0% | +44.5 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.2% | 100.0% | +21.8 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 40 | 61.5% | 65.0% | +3.5 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 14 | 64.7% | 64.3% | -0.4 |
Settled Super League matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super League results
- 24 Oct · 8:30Wuhan Three Towns3-5Shandong LunengBTTS✓
- 24 Oct · 8:30Tianjin Teda1-3SHANGHAI SIPGNo pick
- 24 Oct · 8:30Sichuan Jiuniu2-1Shanghai ShenhuaNo pick
- 24 Oct · 8:30Qingdao Youth Island1-1Yunnan YukunBTTS✓
- 24 Oct · 8:30Shenyang Urban2-4Hangzhou GreentownNo pick
- 24 Oct · 8:30Henan Jianye3-4Beijing GuoanNo pick
- 24 Oct · 8:30Chongqing Tongliang Long2-0Qingdao JonoonBTTS✗
- 24 Oct · 8:30Chengdu Better City0-1Dalian ZhixingNo pick
- 18 Oct · 13:00SHANGHAI SIPG3-0Chengdu Better CityOver 2.5✓
- 18 Oct · 12:00Beijing Guoan1-0Qingdao Youth IslandOver 2.5✗
About Super League
Super League is the top flight of China football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.15 goals per game over 232 matches: both teams scored in 63%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 44% with 26% drawn. Chengdu Better City lead the table on 52 points from 29 games. Beijing Guoan (-5), Shandong Luneng (-6), SHANGHAI SIPG (-5), Shanghai Shenhua (-10), Hangzhou Greentown (-5), Tianjin Teda (-10), Henan Jianye (-6), Wuhan Three Towns (-5), Qingdao Jonoon (-7) have had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles Super League
Every Super League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 80 Super League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 65.3% on average and landing 71.2%. Its best-calibrated Super League market so far is btts (64.7% claimed against 64.3% hit over 14 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super League tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is btts: 64.7% claimed against 64.3% hit over 14 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.