Super League predictions
China · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Super League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Super League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Super League fixtures
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | +21 | 52 | |
| 2 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 38(-5) | |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 38 | |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 37(-6) | |
| 7 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | +7 | 33(-5) | |
| 8 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 31(-10) | |
| 9 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 | |
| 10 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 28(-5) | |
| 11 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 | |
| 12 |  Henan Jianye | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26(-6) | |
| 13 |  Shenyang Urban | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 25 | |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 22(-10) | |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 20(-5) | |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 14(-7) |
- AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
- AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
- Relegation
Official Super League table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Beijing Guoan, Shandong Luneng, SHANGHAI SIPG, Shanghai Shenhua, Hangzhou Greentown, Henan Jianye, Tianjin Teda, Wuhan Three Towns, Qingdao Jonoon · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Super League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 13 | 63.8% | 69.2% | +5.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 10 | 83.6% | 90.0% | +6.4 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 1 | 55.5% | 100.0% | +44.5 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 1 | 78.2% | 100.0% | +21.8 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 30 | 62.0% | 70.0% | +8.0 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 2 | 64.6% | 50.0% | -14.6 |
Settled Super League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Super League results
- 6 Sept · 13:00Tianjin Teda2-1Hangzhou GreentownNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:35Yunnan Yukun5-0Shenyang UrbanHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 12:35Henan Jianye0-0Chengdu Better CityNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:00Chongqing Tongliang Long1-3Shanghai ShenhuaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 13:00Shandong Luneng1-1Sichuan JiuniuOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 12:35SHANGHAI SIPG0-0Beijing GuoanOver 2.5✗
- 5 Sept · 12:35Dalian Zhixing2-1Qingdao JonoonHome Win✓
- 5 Sept · 12:00Wuhan Three Towns2-2Qingdao Youth IslandOver 2.5✓
- 29 Aug · 13:00Henan Jianye1-1Chongqing Tongliang LongNo pick
- 29 Aug · 12:35Chengdu Better City2-1Shenyang UrbanHome or Draw✓
About Super League
Super League is the top flight of China football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.10 goals per game over 205 matches: both teams scored in 64%, 58% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 45% with 27% drawn. Chengdu Better City lead the table on 52 points from 26 games. Beijing Guoan (-5), Shandong Luneng (-6), SHANGHAI SIPG (-5), Shanghai Shenhua (-10), Hangzhou Greentown (-5), Henan Jianye (-6), Tianjin Teda (-10), Wuhan Three Towns (-5), Qingdao Jonoon (-7) have had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles Super League
Every Super League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 57 Super League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.5% on average and landing 73.7%. Its best-calibrated Super League market so far is home win (63.8% claimed against 69.2% hit over 13 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Super League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Super League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Super League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Super League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home win: 63.8% claimed against 69.2% hit over 13 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Super League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Super League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.