League One predictions
China · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every League One match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter League One in the Bet Finder.
This week's League One fixtures
- 12 Sept · 12:00Changchun YataivHeilongjiang Lava SpringNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 12:00Suzhou DongwuvDongguan UnitedNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 12:00Ningbo ProfessionalvShaanxi UnionNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 12:30Guangzhou E-PowervDalian HuayiNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 12:30Guangxi HengchenvYanbian LongdingHome or DrawModerate
- 13 Sept · 12:00Wuxi WugouvNantong ZhiyunAway or DrawModerate
- 13 Sept · 12:30Meizhou KejiavNanjing CityNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 12:30Hebei KungfuvShenzhen JuniorsNo pick yet
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangzhou E-Power | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 18 | +27 | 50 | |
| 2 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 24 | +14 | 42 | |
| 3 |  Guangxi Hengchen | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 36 | |
| 4 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 36 | |
| 5 |  Yanbian Longding | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 23 | +8 | 35 | |
| 6 |  Shaanxi Union | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 23 | +10 | 32 | |
| 7 |  Hebei Kungfu | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 27 | |
| 8 |  Wuxi Wugou | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 25 | +6 | 26 | |
| 9 |  Ningbo Professional | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26(-3) | |
| 10 |  Changchun Yatai | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 25(-4) | |
| 11 |  Dalian Huayi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 | |
| 12 |  Suzhou Dongwu | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 22(-3) | |
| 13 |  Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 22 | |
| 14 |  Nanjing City | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 | |
| 15 |  Meizhou Kejia | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 12(-9) | |
| 16 |  Dongguan United | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 12 |
- Promotion
- Relegation Playoffs
- Relegation
Official League One table via API-Sports · points deductions applied to Ningbo Professional, Changchun Yatai, Suzhou Dongwu, Meizhou Kejia · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's League One record
Not enough settled League One tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.
Recent League One results
- 6 Sept · 12:30Guangxi Hengchen0-1Hebei KungfuNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:00Suzhou Dongwu2-0Nanjing CityNo pick
- 6 Sept · 12:00Shenzhen Juniors5-1Meizhou KejiaNo pick
- 5 Sept · 12:30Nantong Zhiyun1-1Guangzhou E-PowerNo pick
- 5 Sept · 12:30Dongguan United0-0Dalian HuayiNo pick
- 5 Sept · 12:00Changchun Yatai2-0Ningbo ProfessionalNo pick
- 5 Sept · 12:00Wuxi Wugou2-0Yanbian LongdingDraw✗
- 5 Sept · 8:30Shaanxi Union2-1Heilongjiang Lava SpringNo pick
- 30 Aug · 12:30Guangzhou E-Power3-0Changchun YataiNo pick
- 30 Aug · 12:00Ningbo Professional1-1Meizhou KejiaNo pick
About League One
League One is the second tier of China football with 16 teams. The 2026 season has produced 2.73 goals per game over 172 matches: both teams scored in 56%, 53% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 42% with 28% drawn. Guangzhou E-Power lead the table on 50 points from 22 games. Ningbo Professional (-3), Changchun Yatai (-4), Suzhou Dongwu (-3), Meizhou Kejia (-9) have had points deducted, which the table above reflects.
How the model handles League One
Every League One fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled League One tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these League One predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the League One table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which League One market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled League One tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are League One fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter League One by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.