Second League predictions
Bulgaria · second tier · 18 teams · table updated 8 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Second League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Second League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Second League fixtures
- 13 Sept · 15:00Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvSpartak PlevenNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00CSKA Sofia IIvMontanaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00MarekvPirin BlagoevgradNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00Rilski SportistvYantra 2019No pick yet
- 13 Sept · 15:00VihrenvDobrudzhaNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 17:00BeroevSportist SvogeNo pick yet
- 14 Sept · 15:45Hebar 1918vEtar Veliko TarnovoNo pick yet
- 15 Sept · 16:30Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavNesebarNo pick yet
- 15 Sept · 17:00Ludogorets IIvFratriaNo pick yet
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vihren | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Yantra 2019 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Fratria | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 14 | |
| 5 |  CSKA Sofia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 14 | |
| 6 |  Nesebar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Beroe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | |
| 9 |  Montana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Ludogorets II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 | |
| 12 |  Spartak Pleven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Marek | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 |  Rilski Sportist | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Hebar 1918 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 | |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 27 | -24 | 0 |
- Promotion - efbet League
- Promotion - efbet League (Promotion)
- Vtora liga (Relegation)
- Relegation
Official Second League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-08.
This season in numbers
The model's Second League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 5 | 61.2% | 80.0% | +18.8 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 9 | 81.9% | 88.9% | +7.0 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 1 | 58.7% | 100.0% | +41.3 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Second League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Second League results
- 8 Sept · 17:00Montana1-4VihrenNo pick
- 7 Sept · 17:00Spartak Pleven3-2Hebar 1918No pick
- 7 Sept · 17:00Pirin Blagoevgrad0-3Ludogorets IINo pick
- 7 Sept · 16:00Fratria2-2Chernomorets 1919 BurgasNo pick
- 7 Sept · 15:00Sportist Svoge0-0Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Yantra 20193-0MarekNo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-0CSKA Sofia IINo pick
- 6 Sept · 17:00Dobrudzha2-2BeroeNo pick
- 6 Sept · 15:00Nesebar2-1Rilski SportistNo pick
- 3 Sept · 18:00Beroe0-0MontanaNo pick
About Second League
Second League is the second tier of Bulgaria football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.63 goals per game over 72 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 46% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 26% drawn. Vihren lead the table on 18 points from 8 games.
How the model handles Second League
Every Second League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 15 Second League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.5% on average and landing 86.7%. Its best-calibrated Second League market so far is home or draw (81.9% claimed against 88.9% hit over 9 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Second League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Second League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Second League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Second League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 81.9% claimed against 88.9% hit over 9 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Second League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Second League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.