Second League predictions
Bulgaria · second tier · 18 teams · table updated 24 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Second League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Second League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Second League fixtures
- 27 Oct · 16:00Ludogorets IIvDobrudzhaHome or DrawSolid
- 28 Oct · 16:00FratriavMontanaNo pick yet
- 29 Oct · 16:00Yantra 2019vHebar 1918No pick yet
- 30 Oct · 12:15Rilski SportistvVihrenNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 15:30Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavBeroeNo pick yet
- 30 Oct · 15:30Pirin BlagoevgradvEtar Veliko TarnovoNo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:30MarekvCSKA Sofia IINo pick yet
- 31 Oct · 12:30NesebarvChernomorets 1919 BurgasNo pick yet
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Vihren | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 25 | |
| 4 |  Fratria | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Beroe | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 20 | |
| 7 |  Yantra 2019 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 | |
| 8 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Rilski Sportist | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Marek | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Nesebar | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 18 | |
| 12 |  Spartak Pleven | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 | |
| 13 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Ludogorets II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Sportist Svoge | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 | |
| 16 |  Montana | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 | |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 36 | -31 | 1 |
- Promotion - efbet League
- Promotion - efbet League (Promotion)
- Vtora liga (Relegation)
- Relegation
Official Second League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.
This season in numbers
The model's Second League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 9 | 62.5% | 88.9% | +26.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 13 | 82.6% | 92.3% | +9.7 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 3 | 63.1% | 66.7% | +3.6 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Second League matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Second League results
- 23 Oct · 16:00Spartak Pleven2-1Etar Veliko TarnovoNo pick
- 23 Oct · 16:00Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2-0Pirin BlagoevgradNo pick
- 23 Oct · 16:00Hebar 19182-1NesebarDraw✗
- 23 Oct · 16:00Beroe3-1Rilski SportistNo pick
- 23 Oct · 14:00Vihren1-1MarekNo pick
- 23 Oct · 14:00CSKA Sofia II3-3Yantra 2019No pick
- 23 Oct · 14:00Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-1Sportist SvogeNo pick
- 13 Oct · 16:00Montana2-3Ludogorets IINo pick
- 10 Oct · 16:00Dobrudzha0-3Chernomorets 1919 BurgasNo pick
- 10 Oct · 14:00Sportist Svoge1-3Hebar 1918No pick
About Second League
Second League is the second tier of Bulgaria football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.68 goals per game over 114 matches: both teams scored in 47%, 47% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 52% with 25% drawn. CSKA Sofia II lead the table on 25 points from 13 games.
How the model handles Second League
Every Second League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 25 Second League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.0% on average and landing 88.0%. Its best-calibrated Second League market so far is home or draw (82.6% claimed against 92.3% hit over 13 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Second League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Second League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Second League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Second League tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.6% claimed against 92.3% hit over 13 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Second League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Second League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.