Jupiler Pro League predictions
Belgium · top flight · 18 teams · table updated 9 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Jupiler Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Jupiler Pro League in the Bet Finder.
This week's Jupiler Pro League fixtures
- 11 Sept · 19:45KV MechelenvAnderlechtOver 2.5Moderate
- 12 Sept · 15:00SK BeverenvSt. TruidenNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 17:15KVC WesterlovStandard LiegeNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 19:45OH LeuvenvCercle BruggeNo pick yet
- 12 Sept · 19:45Union St. GilloisevLommel UnitedOver 2.5Moderate
- 13 Sept · 12:30Club Brugge KVvAntwerpHome or DrawSolid
- 13 Sept · 15:00GenkvGentNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 17:30Zulte WaregemvCharleroiNo pick yet
- 13 Sept · 18:15RAAL La LouvièrevKortrijkNo pick yet
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 | |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 | |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 | |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Genk | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 8 | |
| 8 |  St. Truiden | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Lommel United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Antwerp | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Anderlecht | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 |  KVC Westerlo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 4 | |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 | |
| 15 |  KV Mechelen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 |
- Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
- Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
- Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
- Relegation - Challenger Pro League
Official Jupiler Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.
This season in numbers
The model's Jupiler Pro League record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 8 | 64.1% | 87.5% | +23.4 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 8 | 83.5% | 100.0% | +16.5 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 5 | 54.4% | 100.0% | +45.6 |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 5 | 77.1% | 100.0% | +22.9 |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 18 | 59.8% | 66.7% | +6.9 |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Jupiler Pro League matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Jupiler Pro League results
- 6 Sept · 18:15SK Beveren3-0OH LeuvenHome or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 17:30Anderlecht0-0GenkNo pick
- 6 Sept · 15:00Kortrijk0-2Zulte WaregemAway or Draw✓
- 6 Sept · 12:30Cercle Brugge0-3GentOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 19:45St. Truiden4-0RAAL La LouvièreNo pick
- 5 Sept · 19:45Standard Liege1-0AntwerpNo pick
- 5 Sept · 17:15KV Mechelen0-4KVC WesterloOver 2.5✓
- 5 Sept · 15:00Charleroi2-3Union St. GilloiseAway or Draw✓
- 4 Sept · 19:45Lommel United0-1Club Brugge KVNo pick
- 3 Sept · 19:30Anderlecht1-0KortrijkHome or Draw✓
About Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League is the top flight of Belgium football with 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.07 goals per game over 45 matches: both teams scored in 42%, 67% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 47% with 20% drawn. Gent lead the table on 15 points from 5 games.
How the model handles Jupiler Pro League
Every Jupiler Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 44 Jupiler Pro League tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 66.2% on average and landing 84.1%. Its best-calibrated Jupiler Pro League market so far is over 2.5 (59.8% claimed against 66.7% hit over 18 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Jupiler Pro League predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Jupiler Pro League table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Jupiler Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Jupiler Pro League tips since 23 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.8% claimed against 66.7% hit over 18 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Jupiler Pro League fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Jupiler Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.