Challenger Pro League predictions

Belgium · second tier · 15 teams · table updated 9 Sept

Calibrated probabilities for every Challenger Pro League match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Challenger Pro League in the Bet Finder.

This week's Challenger Pro League fixtures

Challenger Pro League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Beerschot VA4+59
2Dender4+49
3Francs Borains4+49
4AS Eupen3+36
5Excelsior Virton3+36
6KRC Genk II4+16
7Club Brugge II3+16
8Lokeren-Temse4-26
9Sporting Hasselt4-36
10K. Lierse S.K.4-25
11Liège4-14
12KAA Gent II3-24
13Patro Eisden4-33
14RSC Anderlecht II4-31
15Seraing United4-51
  • Promotion - Jupiler Pro League
  • Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Promotion)
  • Relegation

Official Challenger Pro League table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-09.

This season in numbers

2.79
goals per game (28 matches)
46%
both teams scored
57%
over 2.5 goals
75%
over 1.5 goals
25%
over 3.5 goals
46%
home wins
11%
draws
43%
away wins

The model's Challenger Pro League record

Not enough settled Challenger Pro League tips since 23 Jul to publish a record yet — it fills in as the season goes. Site-wide numbers are on the track record page.

Recent Challenger Pro League results

About Challenger Pro League

Challenger Pro League is the second tier of Belgium football with 15 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.79 goals per game over 28 matches: both teams scored in 46%, 57% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 46% with 11% drawn. Beerschot VA lead the table on 9 points from 4 games.

How the model handles Challenger Pro League

Every Challenger Pro League fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Predictions on finished matches have only been frozen at kickoff since 23 Jul, and there are not yet enough settled Challenger Pro League tips to publish a per-league record — it fills in as the season goes. The site-wide record is on the track record page. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these Challenger Pro League predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the Challenger Pro League table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which Challenger Pro League market is the model most reliable in?
There are not yet enough settled Challenger Pro League tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
How far ahead are Challenger Pro League fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Challenger Pro League by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

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