2. Liga predictions

Austria · second tier · 16 teams · table updated 24 Oct

Calibrated probabilities for every 2. Liga match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter 2. Liga in the Bet Finder.

This week's 2. Liga fixtures

2. Liga table

#TeamPGDPts
1FC BW Linz10+2025
2First Vienna10+1225
3Austria Vienna (Am)10+419
4Admira Wacker10+318
5SKU Amstetten10+417
6Austria Salzburg10+316
7Wacker Innsbruck10+114
8FC Liefering10-214
9Floridsdorfer AC10-213
10Voitsberg10012
11Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz10-212
12SKN ST. Polten10-211
13Sturm Graz II10-88
14WSPG Wels10-128
15SV Kapfenberg10-77
16Rapid Wien II10-127
  • Promotion - Bundesliga
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Official 2. Liga table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-24.

This season in numbers

3.11
goals per game (80 matches)
55%
both teams scored
59%
over 2.5 goals
76%
over 1.5 goals
44%
over 3.5 goals
49%
home wins
18%
draws
34%
away wins

The model's 2. Liga record

MarketTipsClaimedHitGap
Home win≥ 57%0———
Home or draw≥ 80%0———
Away win≥ 50%351.0%33.3%-17.7
Away or draw≥ 73%274.6%50.0%-24.6
Over 2.5≥ 57%2059.7%70.0%+10.3
BTTS≥ 63%164.3%100.0%+35.7

Settled 2. Liga matches since 27 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.

Recent 2. Liga results

About 2. Liga

2. Liga is the second tier of Austria football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 3.11 goals per game over 80 matches: both teams scored in 55%, 59% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 49% with 18% drawn. FC BW Linz lead the table on 25 points from 10 games.

How the model handles 2. Liga

Every 2. Liga fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 27 Jul, the model has settled 26 2. Liga tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 60.0% on average and landing 65.4%. Its best-calibrated 2. Liga market so far is over 2.5 (59.7% claimed against 70.0% hit over 20 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.

Frequently asked questions

How are these 2. Liga predictions made?
Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
Where does the 2. Liga table come from?
It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
Which 2. Liga market is the model most reliable in?
On settled 2. Liga tips since 27 Jul, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is over 2.5: 59.7% claimed against 70.0% hit over 20 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
How far ahead are 2. Liga fixtures predicted?
Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter 2. Liga by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.

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