Ligue 1 predictions
Algeria · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 30 Oct
Calibrated probabilities for every Ligue 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Ligue 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Ligue 1 fixtures
- 2 Nov · 16:45TémouchentvUS BiskraHome or DrawModerate
- 2 Nov · 19:00CR BelouizdadvJS SaouraHome or DrawStrong
- 4 Nov · 16:00MC AlgervMC OranHome or DrawSolid
- 7 Nov · 13:00Olympique AkbouvJS KabylieNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00Ben AknounvMC OranNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00US BiskravMB RouissetNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00CR BelouizdadvCS ConstantineNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00JS El BiarvASO ChlefNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00KhenchelavES SetifNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00Olympique AkbouvTémouchentNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00JS SaouravJS KabylieNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:00USM AlgervMC AlgerNo pick yet
- 7 Nov · 16:45ES SetifvMB RouissetNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 13:00US BiskravASO ChlefNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 13:00JS El BiarvMC AlgerNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 13:00KhenchelavTémouchentHome or DrawModerate
- 8 Nov · 16:45Ben AknounvCR BelouizdadNo pick yet
- 8 Nov · 16:45JS SaouravCS ConstantineHome or DrawModerate
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  JS Kabylie | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 2 |  MC Oran | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 15 | |
| 3 |  CR Belouizdad | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 4 |  MB Rouisset | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 |  USM Alger | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 |  Olympique Akbou | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 7 |  MC Alger | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 |  ES Setif | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 |  JS El Biar | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Témouchent | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Ben Aknoun | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 |  CS Constantine | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 | |
| 13 |  Khenchela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | |
| 14 |  ASO Chlef | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 | |
| 15 |  JS Saoura | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3 | |
| 16 |  US Biskra | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 2 |
- Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
- Relegation - Ligue 2
Official Ligue 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-10-30.
This season in numbers
The model's Ligue 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 7 | 61.4% | 85.7% | +24.3 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 18 | 82.8% | 88.9% | +6.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Ligue 1 matches since 3 Augwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Ligue 1 results
- 31 Oct · 16:45MB Rouisset1-1Ben AknounHome or Draw✓
- 31 Oct · 16:00CS Constantine0-2USM AlgerNo pick
- 31 Oct · 14:00MC Alger2-0KhenchelaHome or Draw✓
- 30 Oct · 19:00MC Oran0-0Olympique AkbouHome or Draw✓
- 30 Oct · 16:45JS Kabylie1-0JS El BiarHome or Draw✓
- 30 Oct · 16:45ASO Chlef1-2ES SetifNo pick
- 27 Oct · 14:00US Biskra0-1MC AlgerNo pick
- 24 Oct · 19:00ES Setif1-2TémouchentNo pick
- 24 Oct · 18:00JS Saoura0-0Ben AknounNo pick
- 24 Oct · 17:45USM Alger2-2CR BelouizdadNo pick
About Ligue 1
Ligue 1 is the top flight of Algeria football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.13 goals per game over 56 matches: both teams scored in 34%, 30% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 43% with 32% drawn. JS Kabylie lead the table on 16 points from 7 games.
How the model handles Ligue 1
Every Ligue 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 169+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 3 Aug, the model has settled 25 Ligue 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 76.8% on average and landing 88.0%. Its best-calibrated Ligue 1 market so far is home or draw (82.8% claimed against 88.9% hit over 18 tips). Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Ligue 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Ligue 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Ligue 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- On settled Ligue 1 tips since 3 Aug, the closest match between claimed and actual hit rate is home or draw: 82.8% claimed against 88.9% hit over 18 tips. The full per-market breakdown is in the record table on this page, and it is recomputed daily as matches settle.
- How far ahead are Ligue 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. The exact probabilities are on each fixture page. To filter Ligue 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.