Ligue 1 predictions
Algeria · top flight · 16 teams · table updated 14 Sept
Calibrated probabilities for every Ligue 1 match, frozen at kickoff and judged in public. Filter Ligue 1 in the Bet Finder.
This week's Ligue 1 fixtures
- 17 Sept · 18:00US BiskravCR BelouizdadNo pick yet
- 17 Sept · 20:00TémouchentvJS KabylieNo pick yet
- 18 Sept · 16:00JS El BiarvJS SaouraNo pick yet
- 18 Sept · 16:00KhenchelavBen AknounNo pick yet
- 18 Sept · 19:00MC AlgervMB RouissetNo pick yet
- 18 Sept · 21:00ASO ChlefvMC OranHome or DrawModerate
- 19 Sept · 16:00Olympique AkbouvUSM AlgerHome or DrawModerate
- 19 Sept · 16:00Ben AknounvJS El BiarNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 16:00CS ConstantinevUS BiskraHome or DrawSolid
- 19 Sept · 16:00CR BelouizdadvKhenchelaHome or DrawModerate
- 19 Sept · 16:00JS KabylievASO ChlefNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 16:00MC AlgervTémouchentHome or DrawModerate
- 19 Sept · 16:00MC OranvES SetifNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 16:00MB RouissetvUSM AlgerNo pick yet
- 19 Sept · 16:00JS SaouravOlympique AkbouHome or DrawModerate
- 19 Sept · 19:00ES SetifvCS ConstantineNo pick yet
- 22 Sept · 18:00US BiskravJS SaouraNo pick yet
- 22 Sept · 20:00MC AlgervMC OranHome or DrawSolid
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CS Constantine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 | |
| 2 |  USM Alger | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 3 |  CR Belouizdad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | |
| 4 |  Ben Aknoun | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 5 |  MC Oran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 6 |  JS Kabylie | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 |  MB Rouisset | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 |  Olympique Akbou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 9 |  US Biskra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 |  Khenchela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 11 |  Témouchent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 12 |  ASO Chlef | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 13 |  MC Alger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  JS Saoura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 |  ES Setif | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 16 |  JS El Biar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
- Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
- Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
- Relegation - Ligue 2
Official Ligue 1 table via API-Sports · updated 2026-09-14.
This season in numbers
The model's Ligue 1 record
| Market | Tips | Claimed | Hit | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win≥ 57% | 3 | 61.0% | 66.7% | +5.7 |
| Home or draw≥ 80% | 4 | 82.9% | 100.0% | +17.1 |
| Away win≥ 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Away or draw≥ 73% | 0 | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5≥ 57% | 0 | — | — | — |
| BTTS≥ 63% | 0 | — | — | — |
Settled Ligue 1 matches since 23 Julwhere the model cleared each market's tip threshold. Predictions are frozen at kickoff, so nothing here was re-scored after the fact. Rows under 5 tips are greyed.
Recent Ligue 1 results
- 12 Sept · 21:00CS Constantine3-0ASO ChlefHome or Draw✓
- 12 Sept · 19:00MB Rouisset2-0Olympique AkbouNo pick
- 11 Sept · 21:00CR Belouizdad1-0ES SetifHome or Draw✓
- 11 Sept · 19:00MC Oran2-0TémouchentNo pick
- 10 Sept · 21:00USM Alger2-0JS El BiarNo pick
- 10 Sept · 19:00Ben Aknoun2-2US BiskraHome or Draw✓
- 5 Sept · 21:00ASO Chlef3-3CR BelouizdadNo pick
- 5 Sept · 19:00Témouchent1-1CS ConstantineNo pick
- 4 Sept · 21:00JS Kabylie1-0MB RouissetNo pick
- 4 Sept · 17:00Khenchela0-0USM AlgerHome or Draw✓
About Ligue 1
Ligue 1 is the top flight of Algeria football with 16 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 2.17 goals per game over 12 matches: both teams scored in 25%, 25% went over 2.5 goals, and the home side won 50% with 33% drawn. CS Constantine lead the table on 4 points from 2 games.
How the model handles Ligue 1
Every Ligue 1 fixture is scored by the same calibrated model that covers 164+ competitions: home, draw and away probabilities from a result classifier, and both-teams-to-score and over/under goals from a Poisson goal model, each passed through its own calibration layer so a displayed 70% means roughly 70%. Since predictions were frozen at kickoff on 23 Jul, the model has settled 7 Ligue 1 tips at the strict thresholds, claiming 73.5% on average and landing 85.7%. Predictions appear up to three days before kick-off and are re-scored every morning until the match starts, then frozen for good.
Frequently asked questions
- How are these Ligue 1 predictions made?
- Each match gets probabilities from two machine-learning models trained on results since 2021: a three-way result classifier for home, draw and away, and a Poisson goal model for both-teams-to-score and over/under goals. Inputs are recent venue-specific form, Elo ratings, rest days, head-to-head history and, where the data exists, shot and expected-goals aggregates. Every output is passed through an isotonic calibration layer fitted on a held-out season, so the displayed percentages match real-world frequencies — the methodology page has the detail. Predictions are frozen at kickoff and never edited afterwards.
- Where does the Ligue 1 table come from?
- It is the official standings feed from our data provider, API-Sports, refreshed nightly. We deliberately do not compute it from results ourselves: head-to-head tiebreakers, points deductions, and split, conference or Apertura/Clausura formats are all shown exactly as the competition publishes them.
- Which Ligue 1 market is the model most reliable in?
- There are not yet enough settled Ligue 1 tips since 23 Jul to say. The record table on this page fills in as the season goes; until then the site-wide track record is the best guide to how each market behaves.
- How far ahead are Ligue 1 fixtures predicted?
- Up to three days before kick-off. Fixtures are imported a week ahead, each prediction is re-scored every morning as form and ratings update, and it is frozen the moment the match starts. Exact probabilities are shown to free account holders; the headline call is public. To filter Ligue 1 by market and probability, use the Bet Finder.