Japan U23 vs Hong Kong U23 predictions — Asian Games, 16 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Japan U23 have won 4 of their last 5 at home, scoring 3.0 per game. Hong Kong U23 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.6 per game. The last 2 meetings produced 2 Japan U23 wins, 0 Hong Kong U23 wins and 0 draws, averaging 4.0 goals.