Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid predictions — UEFA Champions League, 9 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Liverpool favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Atletico Madrid have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.0 per game. The last 5 meetings produced 3 Liverpool wins, 2 Atletico Madrid wins and 0 draws, averaging 3.6 goals.