Alcione vs Novara predictions — Coppa Italia Serie C, 16 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Alcione have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Novara have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game.