Mexico vs Ecuador predictions — World Cup, 1 Jul

Model's headline prediction

Mexico are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 at home. Ecuador have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 Mexico win, 2 Ecuador wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals.