Russia U21 vs Uzbekistan U23 predictions — Friendlies, 27 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Russia U21 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.6 per game. Uzbekistan U23 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game.