Japan U17 vs Qatar U17 predictions — AFC U17 Asian Cup, 5 May

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Japan U17 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.2 per game. Qatar U17 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 per game.