Minerva Punjab vs Chennaiyin predictions — Indian Super League, 6 May

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Minerva Punjab have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.6 per game. Chennaiyin have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.