The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town predictions — Premier League, 20 Feb

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. The New Saints have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.4 per game. Caernarfon Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game.