Neftchi vs Arkadag predictions — Friendlies Clubs, 31 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Neftchi have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per game. Arkadag have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.4 per game.