England vs Uruguay predictions — Friendlies, 27 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. England have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per game. Uruguay have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.