Lille vs Lyon predictions — Coupe de France, 11 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Lille have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Lyon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game.