Bolton vs Port Vale predictions — EFL Trophy, 13 Jan

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Bolton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Port Vale have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.6 per game.