Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita predictions — Liga de Ascenso, 12 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Cariari Pococi have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. AD Carmelita have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.6 per game.