Estoril vs Arouca predictions — Primeira Liga, 7 Nov

Model's headline prediction

Estoril favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Arouca have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Estoril wins, 3 Arouca wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals.