Ajax vs Excelsior predictions — Eredivisie, 22 Nov

Model's headline prediction

Ajax favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Excelsior have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Ajax wins, 0 Excelsior wins and 2 draws, averaging 6.2 goals.