BKMA vs Alashkert predictions — Premier League, 22 May

Model's headline prediction

BKMA favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Alashkert have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 1 BKMA win, 4 Alashkert wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals.