Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak predictions — Premier League, 3 May

Model's headline prediction

Ararat-Armenia favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Shirak have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 5 Ararat-Armenia wins, 0 Shirak wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.7 goals.