Progress / AFA Olaine vs Tukums II predictions — 1. Liga, 14 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Progress / AFA Olaine favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Tukums II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Progress / AFA Olaine wins, 2 Tukums II wins and 2 draws, averaging 4.5 goals.