Neftchi vs Alay predictions — Premier League, 4 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Alay rated above the home side on form and Elo. Neftchi have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 0 Neftchi wins, 4 Alay wins and 2 draws, averaging 3.2 goals.