England U21 vs Moldova U21 predictions — UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, 31 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. England U21 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Moldova U21 have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.8 per game.