Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev predictions — Meistriliiga, 10 May

Model's headline prediction

Kuressaare favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Tallinna Kalev have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 3.2 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Kuressaare wins, 2 Tallinna Kalev wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.7 goals.