Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviario predictions — Copa do Nordeste, 5 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Fortaleza EC favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Ferroviario have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Fortaleza EC wins, 0 Ferroviario wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals.