El Nacional vs Blooming predictions — CONMEBOL Libertadores, 14 Feb

Model's headline prediction

El Nacional favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Blooming have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.0 per game. El Nacional have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.