Maldives vs Timor-Leste predictions — Asian Cup - Qualification, 31 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Recency-weighted xG points to a high-scoring fixture. Maldives have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Timor-Leste have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.6 per game.