Melbourne Knights vs Dandenong Thunder predictions — Victoria NPL, 11 Apr

Model's headline prediction

Melbourne Knights favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Dandenong Thunder have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 3 Melbourne Knights wins, 3 Dandenong Thunder wins and 0 draws, averaging 2.8 goals.