Maribor vs Aluminij predictions — Cup, 4 Mar

Model's headline prediction

Maribor favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Aluminij have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 5 Maribor wins, 1 Aluminij win and 0 draws, averaging 2.8 goals.