Deren vs Khovd predictions — Premier League, 20 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Deren favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Khovd have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 4.0 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Deren wins, 2 Khovd wins and 0 draws, averaging 4.7 goals.