Qarabag vs Sumqayıt predictions — Premyer Liqa, 16 Dec

Model's headline prediction

Qarabag favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Sumqayıt have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Qarabag wins, 2 Sumqayıt wins and 0 draws, averaging 3.2 goals.