Morecambe vs Carlisle predictions — EFL Trophy, 12 Nov

Model's headline prediction

Carlisle rated above the home side on form and Elo. Morecambe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 home games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 2 Morecambe wins, 3 Carlisle wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals.