Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov predictions — Premier League, 23 Sept

Model's headline prediction

Akhmat favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Krylia Sovetov have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.6 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Akhmat wins, 2 Krylia Sovetov wins and 0 draws, averaging 2.7 goals.