Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Town predictions — League Cup, 4 Aug

Model's headline prediction

Newtown AFC favoured at home based on the model's underlying numbers. Caernarfon Town have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 away games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 4.4 per game. The last 6 meetings produced 4 Newtown AFC wins, 2 Caernarfon Town wins and 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals.